Bitcoin Bullish Reversal
Bitcoin (BTC) has staged a bullish reversal from $75k to $82k soon after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on all sweeping tariffs excluding China. According to our market data, Bitcoin surged by 12% on April 9, overturning losses on two crucial time-frames – daily and monthly trading sessions. As previously mentioned in our report, major altcoins, including XRP and Solana (SOL), followed with 8% and 6% gains.
This unexpected upsurge follows a recent remark by BlackRock CEO Larry Fink at the Economic Club of New York, highlighting that mass tariffs usually trigger a 20% correction, presenting a better opportunity to buy. Also, he pointed out that inflation appears higher than expected, forcing many to anticipate a recession for the US. Prior to this, Fink had issued a letter to shareholders, warning them that the US dollar could lose its strength once Americans find Bitcoin to be a safer haven.
Trump’s recent reciprocal tariffs had a grievous impact on the broad market with Jim Cramer accurately predicting “the immediate black Monday”. As discussed earlier, Cramer cautioned that the market could plunge into a sell-off as worse as the one encountered in 1987 if the situation is not salvaged. In this case, he advised that Trump engage the countries “that play by the rules” to prevent a more devastating meltdown.
On-chain analysts have also disclosed that price movements may not be over yet as deposits on Binance rise from 2,419,603 BTC to 2,435,662 BTC between March 28 and April 10. This represents a 16,059 BTC ($1,340,926,500) deposit increment in the past two weeks.
Source: CryptoQuant
Historically, this precedes a significant nosedive as it signifies anxiety and negative reactions towards news signals. Amidst the backdrop of this, institutional investors’ acquisition of Bitcoin reached a significant level in the first quarter of the year, triggered by multiple factors, as outlined in our recent blog post.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
According to technical analysis, the Keltner channel’s upper limit shows that the next crucial resistance level is around $88k. However, the channel’s lower limit indicates that a fall below the $80k level could see Bitcoin finding support at $73k.
Joining the Bitcoin discussion, an analyst identified as PlanB has disclosed that his on-chain indicator signals a bull market. Also, the ongoing movement aligns with the normal behaviour of a bull market dip instead of a transition to a distribution phase.
Source: PlanB
Supporting his thesis with a chart, the analyst hinted that the bull market could still be forming as the 200-week arithmetic and the 200-week geometric are closing in on each other.
One more thing on those two lines. Notice that you can’t have a bear market or a big crash when the 200-week [arithmetic mean] and the geometric mean are together. The big crashes here [in 2021 and 2022] are happening when there’s a diversion between the two lines. Also, here in 2018, there was a big gap between the two [means]. Same here in 2014 and 2015.