As reported by Jinse Finance on November 12, 2026, Mempool data pointed to an expected Bitcoin mining difficulty decrease of about 7.8% that weekend. If it occurred, it would be the largest decrease since June. The report was a forecast, not confirmation that the adjustment had taken place.
What would a lower difficulty change? It would make finding a block easier for miners still online, improving the expected return per unit of computing power. That does not, by itself, establish why difficulty was expected to fall. Jinse Finance noted speculation that some miners were shutting down equipment and shifting power and facility resources toward AI computing; the report did not verify that explanation.
Original report, published November 12, 2026, at 19:13:20 (UTC+08:00).